Mutliple Days of Severe Weather for Mother's Day Weekend

Travelers: Beware
The following information doesn't quite pertain as much to the Kansas City metro as it does areas to the West, South West, and South. But it's still worth taking a quick look at this in case you are planning on traveling this Mother's Day holiday weekend. Already this week, we've had Tornadoes, Damaging Winds, and Large Hail, and those threats will extend on through Sunday, and maybe beyond.

Let's Go Day-by-Day
Below, we're going to show you Friday and Saturday in decent detail (thank you Storm Prediction Center), with a high-level look for Sunday & Monday. This will be a quick and picturesque update!

NOTE: You can click any of the images below to go to the SPC's website for a better view.

FRIDAY

Image Credit: NWS SPC

Image Credit: NWS SPC

Friday is slated for a Moderate Risk (red area in the top image), with a High chance (purple area in bottom image) for Significant Severe Weather (black outlined / hatched area in bottom image).

NOTE: Significant Severe area indicates that any Severe Weather in that area is to be "of significance". Since that's rather vague, here's what that means... Any of the 3 types of Severe Weather experienced is forecast to be more severe than average. Specifically, that means Tornadoes of EF2 or greater magnitude, 2" or larger Hail stones, and Damaging Winds of Hurricane speed (74mph / Gale force) or higher.

This is a pretty serious setup for South Central & South Western KS, along with most of Western & Central OK. Some risk extensds in to TX, AR, CO, and MO, with very some Non-Severe Storms possible in outlying areas (MRGL [Marginal] green area in top image).

SATURDAY

Image Credit: NWS SPC

Image Credit: NWS SPC

Similar to the images for Friday, Saturday has essentially the same threats continue. The storms are a  bit more refined in that it has more of the traditional "bow" look to them. With more structure, typically higher risk. We'd be surprised if the top image doesn't get upgraded to a High Risk in one or two places instead of just Moderate Risk. Also continued in the bottom image is the black outlined / hatched area that denotes Significant Severe conditions.

SUNDAY & MONDAY

Image Credit: NWS SPC

Image Credit: NWS SPC

Sunday's image is on top, while Monday's image is on bottom. At this point in the life cycle of the Storm Complex, conditions look like they should be weakening. If not weakening, the confidence for more Severe Weather is just lower at this time. The Yellow area indicates a 15% risk for Severe Weather though, so for anyone out East coming back to the Kansas City area, you'll want to take note of these areas. Typically, if any Severe Weather is going to occur, it will be in the PM hours, so plan accordingly.

Storm Chasing
Our team plans on going out Saturday, and potentially Sunday. Further updates will probably be very limited at best, so be sure to take today's information in and update it with more personalized means as needed: Apps, Local News, NWS Websites, Text Alerts, Weather Radios

The next few days look rough, which is why we're going to be out and about, but we want you to have the best heads up before this holiday weekend possible. If you and your family have some time, be sure to swing by the blog page here to see if we're Live Streaming our chases this weekend! We wish your Mom, and all the 'moms' in your life all the best. Have a good weekend, and as always....

Stay safe out there,

Twisted Skies Chase Team
Ground Truth | To Protect Life & Property
Established October 2014

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