Potentially High Impact Tuesday

If Tomorrow Surprises You, There Is No Excuse
Yes, that's the tone we're taking today. We, National Weather Service, Storm Prediction Center, and local Meteorologists have been pumping Social Media and the airwaves full of "heads up" messages. While we understand that the Kansas City Metro is in a Slight Risk zone and Enhanced Risk zone on Tuesday, the Moderate Risk zone is only about 60-65 miles West of that.

This is not a message to make you panic. This is a serious message about taking Weather Awareness seriously. Days like this are uncommon at best, especially so close to home. So let's take a look at the current setup together and make this setup easy to understand so you can know what to expect.

SPC Day 2 Categorical Outlook for Tuesday, 04/26/16

Image Credit: NWS Storm Prediction Center

SPC Day 2 Probabilistic Outlook for Tuesday, 04/26/16

Image Credit: NWS Storm Prediction Center

So What?
The key takeaway from these graphics is where that Black Hatched area is setup. Notice that it's right on the border with where the Enhanced Risk is setup? That means with just a tiny shift Eastward, that Significant / Black Hatched area would be over our area. It's very possible for a storm to maintain a long, damaging track with the way things are shaping up, and being only 60-65 miles from the Moderate Risk zone, it will be prudent to watch as things develop out West of Kansas City.

Things may change, Storms might not even be bad in Kansas City, but the potential is there. That's all we want to make you aware of. As for the timing, things look to fire up in Mid / Eastern Kansas in the middle of the afternoon, and slowly push East, with Thunderstorms arriving in the Metro late PM into the overnight hours.

What Are The Threats?
As NWS SPC listed "All Modes of Severe Weather" are expected. That means Heavy Rains, Damaging Winds, Hail (including Large Hail), and Tornadoes are possible with Tuesday's setup. That means there could also come Flash Flooding and generalized Flooding with some of the projected rainfall amounts.

As Always...
Stay on top of tomorrow's Weather by whatever means you can!
 - Keep your phone charged, make sure you have the Weather Emergency Alert (WEA) option enabled, and maybe consider downloading / configuring an app to keep you notified that way.
 - If you have a Weather Radio, make sure it is set to receive NOAA alerts. Don't have one? You really should. They're about $30 at Wal-Mart.
 - Follow along with your favorite local News Station through the day. Things will change, and they'll be all over letting you know what's up.
 - Ask us questions via Facebook and Twitter! We have a pretty good response time, just don't expect it to be immediate, especially if a big storm is bearing down on us while we're in the field chasing.
 - Plan ahead. None of this should take you by surprise. Be smart, be safe, do what you need to do ahead so you can simply act if you have to.

How to Find Us Online
This Blog
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You can also e-mail us directly.
TwistedSkiesChaseTeam@gmail.com

And be sure to check for our Live Stream (listed as Justin Gann) and Videos.
Severe Studios Live Chase
YouTube

Stay safe out there,

--
Justin Gann - Founder
Twisted Skies Chase Team
Ground Truth | To Protect Life & Property
Established October 2014

Now Is The Time To Get Weather Aware

Possible Severe Weather Outbreak
First and foremost, my team really uses the term "outbreak" with extreme caution. We know it's a word that carries a lot of weight behind it. To that end, we are not trying to generate hype or drama or fear just to get people to read this.

As with anything in Weather, things may change and we might see very little. But like always, our Team stands behind the idea of preparing for the worst, and hoping for the best. Let's get down to business.

Multiple Days of Weather
Diving right in, our first chance of Severe Weather is going to happen on Sunday. This is already looking to be a linear setup, which means our chances of Wind and Hail are the primary threats, with some localized very heavy Rains, and maybe a Tornado here and there if there's enough energy to support it. This is the kind of thing we usually see around here, lines of storms that sweep through our area. Here's Sunday's outlook.

NWS SPC Day 3 Categorical Outlook - Posted on April 22nd, 2016

Image Credit: NWS SPC

The next shot of Severe Weather is slated for late Tuesday on into Wednesday. It's looking like it may be kind of an overnight setup, which makes things a little more hectic. Just be sure you have your NOAA Weather Radio or Smart Phone set to audibly alert you to Weather Warnings.

Tuesday / Wednesday looks to considerably less linear, and much more conducive to Supercells. That means that storms will be in clusters instead of a line, and can potentially produce more Severe Weather than a Squall Line. Supercells often have larger hail, and are better able to setup for Tornadoes. Heavy Rains and Damaging Winds (not just Tornadic) are still very much threats with this type of Storm. Here's the setup for Tuesday / Wednesday.

NWS SPC Day 5 Severe Weather Outlook - Posted April 22nd, 2016

Image Credit: NWS SPC

Be sure to stay tuned, as we expect the finite details to start filling in pretty soon, especially for Sunday. We will try to collect information from good sources to share with you. We'll use information from local TV stations, The Weather Channel, Weather Underground, proven Chasers & Chase Teams, anything that is relevant to the Weather that may impact our area. Hopefully you will use us as a centralized Weather 'information hub'!

In case you didn't know, you can find us on the web in several different places. Bookmark'em all!
This Blog
Twitter
Facebook
Instagram
Official [BETA] Website

You can also e-mail us directly.
TwistedSkiesChaseTeam@gmail.com

And be sure to check for our Live Stream (listed as Justin Gann) and Videos.
Severe Studios Live Chase
YouTube

If you have any questions at all, please don't hesitate to contact us. We want you to have the information you need to make the best and safest decisions for you and your family.

Stay safe out there,

--
Justin Gann - Founder
Twisted Skies Chase Team
Ground Truth | To Protect Life & Property
Established October 2014