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Monday, April 25, 2016

Potentially High Impact Tuesday

If Tomorrow Surprises You, There Is No Excuse
Yes, that's the tone we're taking today. We, National Weather Service, Storm Prediction Center, and local Meteorologists have been pumping Social Media and the airwaves full of "heads up" messages. While we understand that the Kansas City Metro is in a Slight Risk zone and Enhanced Risk zone on Tuesday, the Moderate Risk zone is only about 60-65 miles West of that.

This is not a message to make you panic. This is a serious message about taking Weather Awareness seriously. Days like this are uncommon at best, especially so close to home. So let's take a look at the current setup together and make this setup easy to understand so you can know what to expect.

SPC Day 2 Categorical Outlook for Tuesday, 04/26/16
Image Credit: NWS Storm Prediction Center
SPC Day 2 Probabilistic Outlook for Tuesday, 04/26/16
Image Credit: NWS Storm Prediction Center
So What?
The key takeaway from these graphics is where that Black Hatched area is setup. Notice that it's right on the border with where the Enhanced Risk is setup? That means with just a tiny shift Eastward, that Significant / Black Hatched area would be over our area. It's very possible for a storm to maintain a long, damaging track with the way things are shaping up, and being only 60-65 miles from the Moderate Risk zone, it will be prudent to watch as things develop out West of Kansas City.

Things may change, Storms might not even be bad in Kansas City, but the potential is there. That's all we want to make you aware of. As for the timing, things look to fire up in Mid / Eastern Kansas in the middle of the afternoon, and slowly push East, with Thunderstorms arriving in the Metro late PM into the overnight hours.

What Are The Threats?
As NWS SPC listed "All Modes of Severe Weather" are expected. That means Heavy Rains, Damaging Winds, Hail (including Large Hail), and Tornadoes are possible with Tuesday's setup. That means there could also come Flash Flooding and generalized Flooding with some of the projected rainfall amounts.

As Always...
Stay on top of tomorrow's Weather by whatever means you can!
 - Keep your phone charged, make sure you have the Weather Emergency Alert (WEA) option enabled, and maybe consider downloading / configuring an app to keep you notified that way.
 - If you have a Weather Radio, make sure it is set to receive NOAA alerts. Don't have one? You really should. They're about $30 at Wal-Mart.
 - Follow along with your favorite local News Station through the day. Things will change, and they'll be all over letting you know what's up.
 - Ask us questions via Facebook and Twitter! We have a pretty good response time, just don't expect it to be immediate, especially if a big storm is bearing down on us while we're in the field chasing.
 - Plan ahead. None of this should take you by surprise. Be smart, be safe, do what you need to do ahead so you can simply act if you have to.

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TwistedSkiesChaseTeam@gmail.com

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Stay safe out there,

--
Justin Gann - Founder
Twisted Skies Chase Team

Ground Truth | To Protect Life & Property
Established October 2014

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