Winter Arrival

Hey everyone!

WOW, has it been a long time since you've heard from us or what? It's been a hectic year, and fortunately for most of you, not a very weather-active one. That, however, appears to be changing as we hit Winter full-stride.

Let's get to the 4 Day Forecast:

Friday

Cloudy. Slight chance of light freezing drizzle through early afternoon. Slight chance of drizzle in the afternoon. Highs around 40. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.

Friday Night

Cloudy. Slight chance of drizzle through the night. Slight chance of light freezing drizzle early in the morning. Lows in the mid 20s. Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the northwest after midnight.

Saturday

Cloudy. Chance of freezing rain possibly mixed with snow in the morning...then snow likely in the afternoon. Light snow accumulations. Highs in the mid 20s. Temperatures steady or slowly falling in the afternoon. North winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to around 30 mph. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Wind chill readings 5 below to 10 below zero in the afternoon.

Saturday Night

Partly cloudy. Chance of snow in the evening. Much colder. Dangerously cold wind chills. Lows around 3 below. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph in the evening. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Wind chill readings 10 below to 20 below zero after midnight.

Sunday

Sunny...frigid. Highs around 13. Wind chill readings 15 below to 20 below zero in the morning.

Sunday Night

Clear...frigid. Lows around 2. Wind chill readings 5 below to 10 below zero after midnight.

Monday And Monday Night

Clear. Bitterly cold. Highs in the upper 20s. Lows 2 to 16. Wind chill readings 5 below to 10 below zero.

Enjoy that? We do! Let's talk Friday, though, real quick. Freezing Drizzle is a threat. It might not sound that bad, but just enough freezing drizzle is enough to make roads treacherous, especially so early on in the season, when people are getting used to driving in Wintry conditions again. 

Please be very careful on Friday with any precipitation. Slow down, turn your headlights on, leave extra space between you and the cars in front of you, and allow extra drive time.

But let's get a bit more excited about that four-letter word we all love; SNOW. The Ensemble run thinks we'll average a little under 2" total accumulation with this batch.

​It might be hard to see, but that thick black line is the average of all the model runs, and it runs just underneath the 2" line. That yellow line way up there is well over 1 foot though! Obviously an outlier, but some models are quite a bit more "blizzard" feeling. Here's the High Res GFS run.

Yikes. That's a HUGE difference! The dark purples are a bit over 9"...

Do we think we'll see that much Snow? No. BUT it's interesting to see that Kansas City is pretty much in the bulls-eye. That means that confidence is high that KC will be seeing at least some snow. Currently, we're thinking 3" would be a pretty high yield for this upcoming accumulation. Lesser amounts are expected widespread.

Here's some great Winter Weather Safety graphics I will leave you with. These are awesome infographics to help you remember how to get geared up for Winter AND be safe about it!

Staying Warm Indoors

Vehicle Winter Weather Preparedness

Home Winter Weather Preparedness

Pet Winter Weather Safety

That's all we've got right now! Be wary on Friday for that Freezing Drizzle, Saturday for Snow, and Sunday for extreme cold Wind Chills, down to -20°F.

Stay safe out there,

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Twisted Skies Chase Team
Ground Truth | To Protect Life & Property
Established October 2014

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