Sorry I'm a little later than I anticipated! Looks like we're not going to get a very solid answer, as is the case most of the time for Winter Weather forecasting. However, here's how things are trending in the world of forecast models.
Quick Technical Note: All images & any captions should now be clickable links to take you to the page source. I know this Blog sometimes shrinks pictures & text down a little small to be able to see everything. Hope that helps going forward!
Local Meteorologists sometimes just don't agree...
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| KMBC Chief Meteorologist is thinking about 2" will stick for most of the KC Metro |
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| 41 Action News Chief Meteorologist Gary Lezak thinks we'll see > 1" of Snow for most of the KC Metro |
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| Joe Lauria of FOX 4 KC seems to think we're in the < 1" of Snow boat as well |
So now that we have that confusion out of the way, let's move on to the next set of data from the National Weather Service office for Kansas City. According to their 4 AM update this morning, they believe a lot of folks in the KC Metro will be seeing between 1" - 2".
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| "Snow will accumulate on roadways making them slick. Slid-Offs and Accidents can be expected." |
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| The Median of the Plume Models has us slated for about 1.5" of total accumulated Snow |
And now a look from HazWx's website.
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| LEFT: NCEP GFS 00Z model run (11/15) for Snow total accumulations through 12 AM Monday, 11/17/2014 RIGHT: NAM 4KM 00Z model run (11/15) for Snow total accumulations through 12 AM Monday, 11/17/2014 |
Lastly, all the updated model runs from WeatherBELL all agree that we're dodging most of the bullet on this one. Here's one of the 3 nearly identical models from their site.
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| This is WeatherBELL's (WxBell) NAM 4KM 00Z Run, which matches their other products almost identically (NCEP GFS and NAM 12KM) |
That's it for now! Just be sure to be cautions while you're out driving this weekend. Little snow or not, any precipitation on the road is likely to be near or below Freezing. Headlights on, seatbelts buckled, windows scraped... you guys know the drill.
Stay safe out there,
Justin Gann - KDØWNE
Twisted Skies Chase Team
Founder & Lead Chaser
Public Safety Officer
Santa Fe Neighborhood #17
Independence, MO
G+ | +JustinGann
Twitter | @JustinTGann
Facebook | Justin.T.Gann
Twisted Skies Photography
Twisted Skies Chase Team
Founder & Lead Chaser
Public Safety Officer
Santa Fe Neighborhood #17
Independence, MO
G+ | +JustinGann
Twitter | @JustinTGann
Facebook | Justin.T.Gann
Twisted Skies Photography
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