Good afternoon folks,

I'll try to be brief, but the graphics might make this look really long. Biggest changes so far; National Weather Service Kansas City has updated our estimated total accumulations for the area. As it stands, they're thinking that we're going to see in the range of 2"-3" with some very isolated spots closer to 4".

Here's a clickable Hour-by-Hour Snow Total that KMBC (Channel 9) posted a little while earlier today, just click the arrows to the right of the current image to scroll forward into time.

Next up is the overview forecast for the next handful of days:

• Rest Of Today
  Partly cloudy in the morning then clearing. Highs in the upper 20s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
• Tonight
  Mostly clear. Lows around 14. Northwest winds around 10 mph in the evening becoming light and variable.
• Friday
  Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 30s. Light and variable winds.
• Friday Night
  Partly cloudy. Lows around 20. Temperatures steady after midnight. Light and variable winds.
• Saturday
  Cloudy. Chance of snow in the morning...then snow in the afternoon. Moderate snow accumulations. Highs around 30. Temperatures steady in the afternoon. South winds around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
• Saturday Night
  Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of snow. Lows around 20.
• Sunday
  Considerable cloudiness in the morning then becoming partly sunny. A 30 percent chance of snow. Highs in the upper 20s.
• Sunday Night
  Partly cloudy. Lows around 15.
• Monday Through Tuesday
  Mostly clear. Bitterly cold. Highs in the upper 20s. Lows around 8.

Next, some graphics from the NWS KC Decision Support Page (also attached as a PDF with full details.

Expected Snow Totals through Sunday

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Expected Snow Chances on Saturday

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48-Hour Forecast Data from 12 AM Saturday through 11 PM Sunday

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Snow Plume Modeling through Noon on Sunday

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HazWx: NCEP GFS Model for Estimated Snow Totals through 6PM Sunday

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​WxBell: NCEP Hi Res GFS Estimated Snow Totals through 6PM Sunday

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If you take nothing else away from this update, take this... Current models have been ramping up the total accumulations ever so slightly each run, but it still looks like, from my estimates, most of the KC Metro & surrounding areas (50 mile radius) should see about 3" of Snow by the end of Sunday.

As always, if things change, I'll be sure to let you know. Stay tuned!

--

Justin Gann - KDØWNE

Twisted Skies Chase Team

Founder & Lead Chaser

Public Safety Officer

Santa Fe Neighborhood #17

Independence, MO

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