The quick summary is that in the last couple model runs have whittle down snow chances a bit. With that, almost the entirety of Snow Accumulation is expected to happen Saturday instead of through the duration of the whole weekend.
Instead of 3", the median of the Plume runs are guessing about 2.5" when all is said and done.
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| Snow Accumulation Plume Modeling through 6 PM on Monday, 11/17/2014 |
In addition, our local National Weather Service (NWS) office's 48-Hour Forecast lines up with this very nicely. Some additional good news for those of you that very much dislike Wintry Weather, there's not anything in the forecast for Ice or Sleet accumulations, which is not to say there won't be some icy patches on roads & sidewalks. NOTE: Hard-packed snow can be just as dangerously slick as ice.
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| 48-Hour Forecast from 2 PM 11/14/2014 to 1 PM 11/16/2014 |
Ahead of this Storm System, NWS Kansas City has issued a Winter Weather Advisory that you should check out. They have also published an updated Decision Support Page product highlighting Snow Accumulations across the region.
I won't bore you today with the NCEP GFS & NAM forecasts since they all relay about the same information, but keep an eye out for one more update tomorrow morning!.
Stay safe out there,
Justin Gann - KDØWNE
Twisted Skies Chase Team
Founder & Lead Chaser
Public Safety Officer
Santa Fe Neighborhood #17
Independence, MO
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